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From midway through WWII and throughout the cold war, indeed until the end
of the 20th C the democratic nations looked for leadership from the elected
presidents of the USA, and on the whole they did a pretty good job. Bush /Cheney
changed all that, despite the massive amount of goodwill that accrued to them
following 9/11.
After a full-hearted wave of international support for the military intervention
in the Afghan civil war, to overthrow the Taleban hosts of the al Qaeda terror
group, suddenly many nations came to the realisation that they could not follow
such a further lead as Washington was to next offer. This was primarily in the
irrelevant invasion of Iraq in pursuit of a US neo-con policy with no acceptable
logic to Europeans and many others. The discovery that there had been a false
prospectus for the Iraq invasion made matters worse. This, plus dismay at the
calibre of the Bush-Cheney presidency, for the first time in more than half
a century resulted in a US administration which many significant nations were
no longer prepared to follow, as they had their predecessors. It does not help
that the outstanding problem of Iran and it's nuclear ambitions, could hardly
be moderated by a US whom itself refuses to give up the ability to conduct experimental
nuclear explosions, and has easily the largest nuclear weapons arsenal in the
world, having just announced a modernisation program to cover the next forty
years.
Many nations, not only the Arab states, have seen US policy to Israel to be
flagrantly less than even- handed with regard to achieving the two state solution
that was set out by the United Nations, when they voted for the state of Israel
to join the community of nations. Many associate the continuing violence and
lack of resolution in the Israel-Palestinian conflict, as a root cause of Islamic
extremism.
The world authority itself, is as is widely agreed is due for substantial revision
- the composition of the Security Council and the power of veto for example,
is determined by winners and excludes the losers, in a world war which finished
over sixty years ago, before most of our planet's population was even born.
But it is not possible to look to this US administration for leadership in reshaping
the UN, given the oft-stated declarations that the UN is only important, insofar
as it is useful to their interests.
In all of these, as in other matters, there is currently only vestigial or
no leadership, and yet the world needs exactly that leadership, certainly where
the area is critical like nuclear proliferation. We hope that the next US Administration
will inspire nations to follow them as in the past, but there are no guarantees
that January 2009 will see that come to pass.
Our PRESCRIPTION is that through the UN, different respected
nations or small groups of nations with particular experience or authority,
should be invited to offer a lead in proposing initiatives in certain areas
where leadership is clearly required, (as distinct from large committees, a
beast not known to produce new initiatives).
We would propose Japan on the topic of nuclear proliferation.
A small group of nations that have provided peace-keeping troops to the Israel/
Lebanon /Palestinian arena (such as Canada, Ireland, Norway, plus a secular
Moslem state like Turkey), to lead on how to achieve the two state solution
for peace in the middle-east.
The future role and reorganisation of the UN we would propose to be referred,
in the first instance, to the continentally representative, giant states of
Brazil, South Africa and India.
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