Summary: The Syrian government will go to Geneva II with the risk of US military intervention averted (any further suggestions of attacks would compromise the Iranian nuclear deal, which the Obama White House has clearly indicated to be a priority). Moreover, the Syrian army has also continued to make territorial gains on the ground, eroding the rebels’ stronghold even in their key ‘conquests’ of Aleppo and Homs. The Syrian National Coalition (SNC), which brings together the highest number and range of militants, has not even decided whether or not it will even participate in Geneva II. One of the reasons is that the foreign powers behind the SNC are in a bit of conflict with each other.
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